Ok, lets clear up some acronyms first, SJ = SabresJunkie...what is DTO? (Wait...um, drug trafficking organization?) Thats probably what that is. Ok.
Sabresfansince1980 wrote:
Yankee, Mexican cartels are far and away the biggest source of marijuana trafficking into the US, so the two issues are tied together rather tightly.
Ok, I agree that Mexican weed is the most prelavant source here in the US. And that Mexican DTO's are responsible for bringing it here. But I feel like you arent really considering all the factors. If National decriminalization were to occur, the factors shaping this situation would change to the point where this conversation probably wouldnt be relevant. For the most obvious one I can think of, if it is decriminalized, and the US market is actually opened, who are these DTO's going to be fighting for? Their potential market has just expanded enormously, they wouldnt even be able to come close to meeting demand. Basically, what they would be doing wouldnt be that illegal, they would have more customers than they knew what to do with...that doesnt seem like a recipe for increased violence in a black market situation to me. But, who can really say for sure how that would play out.
That example was predicated upon 1) Decriminalization and 2)EVERYTHING ELSE remaining static.
For a slightly more dynamic scenario, if it was decriminalized here, why wouldn't the cigarette manufacturers simply start growing another crop? Why wouldn't we start our own, high quality, REGULATED, taxed, etc etc, system of production and distribution? Why would anyone choose the crappy Mexican dirt weed when they can run down to 7-11 and pick up some safe, legal, Kind-bud grown right here in the USA? The BEST way to put the DTO's out of business is to make them irrelevant, no? Take away their market with our own, why should THEY be profiting from this?
Again, this is a complex situation with many shades of gray, I really think it's absurd for anyone to make some simple claim like X will lead to Y, without including many tangential possibilities because of Z Q and T which must be thrown into the equation somehow. (I know this is getting long winded, sorry)
Sabresfansince1980 wrote:
I'm not at all saying that we should base our laws on how DTOs will respond to them, I'm saying that legalization will not be some instant or certain cure to illegal trafficking and the violence involved in it.
Ok, thanks for clarifying. I completely agree actually, It wouldn't happen overnight. I just see this war going on, with the mexican government seemingly impotent to do anything about it. Do we even have a solution on our end other than mega-secure borders and lots and lots of money and manpower put to trying to secure our borders, something we've basically already decided not to do (I mean..wtf, if we really wanted to construct something that would not let illegal aliens cross the border into the US, we would. Some fucking Mega-wall would do the trick, with seismic sensors and electricity, etc etc) What's our strategy now, talking to the Mexican government to try and work with them so they're not completely ineffectual ass-hats? Whatever is being done seems pretty ineffective quite frankly.
Sabresfansince1980 wrote:
There are too many factors. If there was a total commitment to stomping down on these cartels then I wouldn't really worry about it. There isn't, hasn't been, and I still don't expect there to be that commitment any time soon. Eliminating them first would be my priority, then discussing legalization without fear or corruption infecting that process.
Again, I agree, ideally this is the scenario i'd prefer, the one that seems most common sense. But, it doesnt seem realistic at this point in time.
SFS1980, i'm wondering about a few things, I thought perhaps you'd know the answers to them?
So, i'm curious what the laws are about the US eventually just sending troops or something into mexico. What are the international laws? Is mexico able to/allowed to ask us to bring in the army (or whatever super-armed force it would be) and just occupy these places, detain these drug runners, and possibly use lethal force to simply put them down? Is that realistic in any way? Does mexico have the ability to do it themselves? What is our level of involvement at the moment? How can these cartels be beaten by force? Is that even possible?
Again, sorry for the wall of text. And I must say SFS1980, I quite enjoy talking with you, we seem to have two very different viewpoints on the world, but I find you very rational and reasonable.