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Godzilla1960
PostPosted: Tue Dec 29, 2009 6:49 pm 
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Why hasn’t Buffalo won a NFL or NHL championship?

That is the question that haunts Buffalo sports fans. Yes, the Bills were two time AFL champs, but that was a long time ago and during an era when the best teams in football were still in the NFL. Buffalo can also boast of three minor league baseball championships, and four indoor lacrosse championships, but I think we all know that nobody get too excited about winning that hardware.

We want the Vince Lombardi trophy and the Stanley Cup.

People talk about Buffalo’s handicap as a small market team, so I guess it is fair to compare us with a similar city only 225 miles to the south - Pittsburgh.

Whereas we have only runner-up memories of nearly great teams, they have been so much more successful, winning five World Series championships, six Super Bowls, and three Stanley Cups. These are two very similar cities, in size, history, and geography, yet they have build small market champions and we have not.

What makes Pittsburgh so much more successful in sports than Buffalo?

Both cities are about the same size in area (58.3 sq. miles for Pittsburgh; 52.5 sq. miles for Buffalo). Pittsburgh’s nearly 317,000 population is slightly more than Buffalo’s 272,000 people, but not a great deal more. Both cities peaked in population in the 1950s, with Pittsburgh listed as the 12th largest city in American and Buffalo the 15th.

Both cities have lost population in every census since then, with Buffalo back to its 1890s population.

Pittsburgh was hit hard by competition with German and Japanese steel in the 1970s and 1980s. Buffalo was hurt by the opening of the St. Lawrence Seaway in 1957, which allowed shippers to bypass the New York state canal system. Both cities experienced white flight to the suburbs and Rust Belt to Sun Belt population shifts in the 1980s. Today Pittsburgh is the 60th largest city in America (a little smaller than New Orleans, a little larger than Toledo) and Buffalo is the 69th largest (a little smaller than Anchorage, a little larger than Lincoln, Ne.). The difference is not in our size or history.

The answer might be in the economies of the two cities. Both cities have attempted to diversify their economies, shifting from manufacturing to medical, banking, and more high-tech jobs, however Pittsburgh appears to have been more successful.

There are nine Fortune 500 companies with headquarters in Pittsburgh, which puts them at #8 for cities with Fortune 500 headquarters. Buffalo has one (M&T Bank). Pittsburgh has an average household median income that is about $4,000 higher than Buffalo and a per capita average income that is also about $4,000 more than the average Buffalonian. Buffalo has 8% more families living below poverty than does Pittsburgh. In fact, Buffalo is one of the poorest cities in the U.S. with populations of more than 250,000 people. Only Detroit and Cleveland have higher poverty rates, and only Miami and Cleveland have a lower median household income.

Pittsburgh is listed by Forbes magazine as the 13th best city for young professionals to live. They were also was named "America's Most Livable City" by Places Rated Almanac in 2007. Furthermore, in 2009, Pittsburgh was named most livable city in the United States and 29th-most-livable city worldwide by the British newspaper, The Economist. Buffalo is investing more in the city, but it still has a ways to go before it starts topping the lists of best places to live and work.

This difference in the economic base, with more fans in Pittsburgh able to financially support sports teams that can spend more money on better talent, might explain why two very similar cities in size and history have had two very different experiences when it comes to winning championships.

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Crosscheck
PostPosted: Tue Dec 29, 2009 7:18 pm 
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Thank you NYS politics and politicians.

What else could the difference maker be?
If I were starting a business or in need to relocate a business, NY would be near the very bottom of my list and that certainly plays out in the economic numbers.

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icehound
PostPosted: Tue Dec 29, 2009 7:20 pm 
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...State Taxes might have to do with it.

Look at the cost-differential for typical commodities as well as state income-taxes. If you ass-rape your citizenry to support bloated social-programs, it diminishes their buying-power and disposable income.

Compare typical middle-class purchases for cigarettes, gasoline, beer and liquor, entertainment and dining out...it all adds up.

Look at mill-taxes in Erie county...sky-high.


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Montalo
PostPosted: Tue Dec 29, 2009 7:30 pm 
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Allegheny county, where pittsburgh is located in, has one of the highest sales taxes in the state, in at 7%

i believe, and i may be wrong, erie couty is 9.50%(?)

clothing tax, none

also, a fiar fact you neglected to mention tho

Pirates havent won the world series since the 70s, and havent had a winning season since I was born(1992 season was their last)

Buffalo, thanks to Cleveland, has never had a MLB baseball team

besides, if it wasnt for the parties, we would have super bowls

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mechaphil
PostPosted: Tue Dec 29, 2009 7:58 pm 
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No, if it wasn't for the dome not being built in Lancaster, we'd have Super Bowls.

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Godzilla1960
PostPosted: Tue Dec 29, 2009 10:05 pm 
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Taxes might be part of it, but I don't think it explains completely why Pittsburgh has fared so much better as a city than Buffalo. Pennsylvania is not exactly know as a tax haven.

Leadership and vision might be a part of it. James Griffin was mayor of Buffalo from '78 to '94. I don't really know much about him, but I don't get the impression that he was leading any kind of Buffalo renaissance.

Richard Caliguiri and Sophie Masloff were the mayors of Pittsburgh during roughly the same time period and they made urban renewal and fiscal responsibility keystones of their administrations, even though this was the period of economic downturn for the northeast.

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daz28
PostPosted: Wed Dec 30, 2009 12:58 am 
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I really like your post, but are you calling us losers(in general). I mean, our representatives are supposed to represent us, so what's the deal? I guess if you're searching for an answer, then fine. I hope you weren't supporting the notion we are just inferior. Maybe I missed the WHOLE point of this thread. It's possible as me and the old lady are arguing, and I'm "compensating".


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Godzilla1960
PostPosted: Wed Dec 30, 2009 2:12 am 
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daz28 wrote:
I really like your post, but are you calling us losers(in general).

I'm not sure what you mean by "losers." I'm certainly not referring to the people of WNY as losers (I still consider myself one of those people, even though I don't live there anymore).

I'm trying to figure out how two similar cities could have such different results in sports. Or maybe I'm just trying to figure out why a region of the country so absolutely devoted to its two major sports franchises has been so consistently disappointed by those franchises over the decades.

Also, the difference between a championship and runner up might be a matter of luck. How are things different if Scott Norwood doesn't kick the ball wide right? What if Hull's "no goal" was ruled a no goal? What if we didn't lose our defensive players to injuries in 2006? Maybe the difference between Pittsburgh and Buffalo sports boils down to bad breaks?

I'm just asking the question. I don't think anyone is a loser (in general). I'm just looking at a city that is pretty similar to Buffalo which has more than its share of certified winners.

I will be 50 this year and I am starting to wonder if Buffalo will earn a championship in my lifetime. Right now the chances of the Bills moving to Toronto seem more likely than their winning the Super Bowl. The Sabres' prospects look brighter, but I'm not sold on this team, yet, the way I was the 2005-2006 team.

Of course, tonight, none of that matters, because tonight we beat the defending Stanley Cup champs, after spotting them three goals.

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daz28
PostPosted: Wed Dec 30, 2009 2:33 am 
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Sweet man. I've made the parallel to this myself a few times. I have no idea why though, and have heard few good explanations. I'd have to assume it's based on good business sense. You're going to have experts in any field, and they will only be as good as the presodint's ability to spot said talent(or even hire people who are talent spotters for that matter). I guess they've just had better ownership, period?

/remember though, even the losing owner is still purdy fat though, right?


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Hammygoodness
PostPosted: Wed Dec 30, 2009 3:03 am 
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I think luck plays more of a role in sports, particularly hockey, than many people give credit for. Take a "gimme" goal and replay it 500 times and you might see some of the following:

Puck bounces over the stick
Puck gets up on end and sails over the net
Shooter shoots the puck right into the diving goalie's glove
Shooter shoots the puck into the crossbar, deflecting high
Shooter shoots the puck into the crossbar, deflecting into the net
Shooter shoots the puck into the crossbar, deflecting onto the goalie's back (or a defenseman's) and it sits in the crease
Shooter shoots the puck into the crossbar, deflecting onto the goalie's back (or a defenseman's) and it bounces into the net
Shooter snaps his stick, puck goes in anyway
Shooter snaps his stick, puck goes wide

I think when a player has a great scoring chance, often a "great save" is simply the player shooting the puck into the goaltender. The goalie got himself into position to have a chance to make the save. Sometimes it's great reaction, sometimes the puck just hits him. Sometimes they score. The former two, and it's a great save. The latter and it's a great shot or the goalie had "no chance".

Think about all the scoring chances throughout a game and how things could have been different. If the puck had bounced a little different. If the ref or linesman hadn't gotten in the way. If the puck had settled down. If it deflected in instead of out.

Great players aren't great players because on this play they're going to score, make the pass or make the save. There are so many variables on any given play, that it's almost more of a butterfly effect kind of thing. What makes the great players great is that they put themselves in position to have better and more frequent chances. They can still have the puck roll on them, or snap their stick, just like anyone else. They will still sometimes shoot the puck right into the goalie's chest. They just don't do these things as often.

Why do you think they say make it to the playoffs and anything can happen? Because anything can, and will, happen. The best teams put themselves in the most advantageous positions frequently. The worst teams vice versa. Yet the worst team can still come out and beat the best. Buffalo had their chances for championships. One field goal changes the story. One foot in the crease might have breathed new life into a hockey team. 2/3 of a starting defense not going down to injury may have given Buffalo its best shot. I'm sure there were bounces and things in the finals against Philly (before my time) that might have changed things around.

I think I've formed this opinion after playing poker. The best players put themselves in position to win more often. Yet they can still be victimized by the cards on any given hand. Play one hand of poker and you likely won't be able to tell the amateur from the professional from the world class player. Play 1,000 hands and the skill comes to the front.

Look at Paille's promising season with Buffalo last year. Yet how many of his goals were shots that went in off his skate/leg/chest? Lots of luck went into those goals. Yet a player's achievement will tend to reflect their actual skill level over the course of a career.

I guess all I'm saying is that luck plays a major factor in sports. Projected out an infinite amount of times, you could determine the best player/team/franchise. But it's a statistically inadequate sample size. Have the '99 Sabres play the '99 Stars and infinite number of times and how does it turn out? If just a few things here or there bounced one way or another. I think it could alter the outcome. It's like flipping a coin once, it comes up heads, so you say heads is better than tails at coin flipping. There's no way to know for sure how luck relates to performance and results in sports.

Sorry for being long-winded. Guess I just don't want to go to bed yet.

Ham

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