Sabresfansince1980 wrote:
Jim Bob wrote:
Skyline_BNR34 wrote:
The signing would look good only if he could stay healthy.
We already know he can put up almost a PPG or be that player, and we know he produces in the playoffs.
Ding, ding, ding.
The questions were never about Timmah's talent. They were all about the likelihood that he would stay healthy.
I'm hoping that I eat crow about the extension.
My confidence about re-signing Connolly wasn't just about talent. With the way he finished last season there was no reason to expect him to have more injury issues. He finally got healthy, played 48 straight games, played with some physicality, and came into camp full speed ahead. Unless you fall into the trap of labeling players as "injury prone", or just figure a player will keep on having stange bad luck like some voodoo curse, signing a player in his prime while he's a near ppg producer is the right move.
Taking "a chance" on a player staying healthy when the production rate is almost guaranteed is a lot safer bet than signing a player that you hope will produce up to the money. We've seen 10-20 complete busts in the FA market the last two seasons on players that didn't have a history on the IR. In comparison to those deals, and some that came through with fair value, Connolly has been well worth the 4.5 mil cap hit.
There is risk with any contract that you sign a player to.
There was an injury risk with the Gaborik signing in NY and that is working out OK, for now, for the Rangers. Much better than the Drury signing.....
But, given what we know about concussions and Connolly's history of concussion issues, I wouldn't just dismiss his injury history merely because he's gone a little over a year without serious injury.
Tim played 80 regular season games in 2002-03 and then wasn't physically able to play again until the start of the 2005-06 season.
Four straight season with 63 or fewer games played worried me. And I obviously wasn't alone.